Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Promiscuous Distraction

 

In this week's edition:  I will do it toda-- ooo, what's that. . .

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Promiscuous Investing, Chapter 5 – Distraction




Promiscuous: "indiscriminate; casual; irregular; haphazard."
 
Mark Twain said, "Never put off until tomorrow what you can do the day after tomorrow." 

Funny - until we realize he is describing our inclination to put things off; not because they don't need to be done, but because we don't want to do them.

We become distracted from tasks we consider boring, tedious, confusing, and/or scary.  Of note, these are words people often use when describing their investing experience. 

On its own, this perception is burdensome enough to invite delay.  But there is a further compounding factor: No Deadline. 

From paying bills to taking out the trash, most matters of tedium have to be done by a certain time.   Aligning our money with our goals does not.  While of considerable importance, this task carries an unending chain of possible "day after tomorrows."  

As an easily distractible species, it isn't uncommon for decisions to be put off for months or years.  The result is summed up well by Winston Churchill, "a failure to plan is a plan for failure."

Lack of investment planning is repeatedly evidenced when comparing investor returns to the market on average.  Dalbar's recent "Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior,"[1] showed equity investors rigorously underperformed the S&P 500 index by -4.3% (compounded annually) over the last 20 years. 

Back at the ranch, fixed income investors trailed Barclay's Bond Index by a staggering -6.5% (compounded annually) for the period.  Under these conditions, a $200,000 investment split equally between stocks and bonds underperformed the market return by more than $350,000.  That's 150% of possible return left on the table.  

Averages being what they are, about half of all investors did even worse.

Mr. Twain's anecdote is less a quip than an observation of what we tend to do in relation to what we should do.  When it comes to investing, distractions and wavering can have catastrophic results.  After losing four million in today's dollars and going bankrupt at 59; my guess is...Twain would agree. 

Time is the most important factor in the formula for creating wealth.  The length of time invested has far greater impact on results than contributions or returns.  Amounts saved and interim earnings are variables in the equation.  Time is the only constant.

The Chinese have a proverb:  The best time to plant a tree is 20 years ago.  The second best time is today.

If you've already planted your allocation and plan to tend it periodically kudos to you.  If not, getting to it today is your next best opportunity.  At the very least put it on your calendar in the next week and stick to it.

If you are unsure about how to invest your 401(k) or other long term investments, find an advisor that focuses on controlling costs and allocation geared to your needs and goals.
   
Oh…and try not to get distracted.

I welcome any question or comment. 

 becker@wiserfinancial.com

Marc Becker, AIF
Managing Partner, Wiser Financial Coaching
Columnist, The Advisor Sherpa 
To read past articles and view past videos, visit: www.marcbecker.tv



[1] http://www.qaib.com/public/default.aspx



Trivia Time  

This week's question:  Football season is here!  In what year did the Superbowl feature teams with Equus caballus and Falco peregrinus mascots?

Do you know?  E-mail your answer wendy@wiserfinancial.com and if you are correct, receive a free "Way to Go!", "You Rock!", or other congratulatory phrase.  Then brag to all your friends about how smart you are. 

The answers will be in next week's newsletter!

Last week's question:  What happened this week that will not occur again until July 31, 2015?

Answer:   A blue moon.  We call it a "blue" moon when a full moon occurs for the second time in a calendar month. This happened August 31, and will not happen again until July 31, 2015.

Congratulations to George, David R. and Dick W. for getting the correct answer!  What clever people.

 follow on Twitter | visit www.marcbecker.tv | forward to a friend 

The articles and opinions expressed in this newsletter were gathered from Marc Becker, The Advisor Lab, and a variety of other sources.  Articles are written by Marc Becker.  All sources are believed to be reliable but do not constitute specific investment advice. In all cases, please contact your investment professional before making any investment choices.

Copyright ©  2012 Wiser Financial Coaching LLC, All rights reserved.

Marc Becker
Wiser Financial Coaching, LLC
2741 Campus Walk Ave.
Bldg 400 Ste 400
Durham, NC 27705
Tel: (919) 477-3355
Fax: (919) 477-3366
becker@wiserfinancial.com
Securities offered through Triad Advisors Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC

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Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Regret Me Not

 

In this week's edition:  No Regrets!

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Promiscuous Investing, Chapter 4 – Regret Me Not




Promiscuous: "indiscriminate; casual; irregular; haphazard."
 
If reading this, you've been around long enough to regret some decisions.  Regret is viewed through hindsight and often is accompanied with the "coulda woulda shoulda," awareness.
 
That is, with the chance to do it again we would do differently and avoid all the unpleasantness.  This reminiscence seems an easy chance to learn from our mistakes, an opportunity to assure ourselves 'we'll never do that again.' 

But this assumption can be dangerous.  Being aware we've made a mistake is not the same as being aware we are about to.  Thinking 'this is the last time I'll                 ,'  beckons over confidence in our own wisdom.

The exact circumstances usually don't appear again.  Applying lessons learned to different variables in the future is more difficult than we might think.

Buddha's second of his "Four Noble Truths" is:  "All misery is the result of attachment."

This means most mistakes are based on emotional responses to what we perceive around us.  For example, when appearances are grand investors are inclined to attach to what that could mean for us, our money, and our ego.

When things appear less rosy, we are tempted to attach to the idea there is a better way than what we have been doing, no matter how sound it may be.

Behavioral Psychologist  Meir Statman studies Regret Theory:  When powerful emotional components impact financial decisions.  He confirms we feel sorrow and even grief after making decisions that don't pan out as we thought.

Buddha describes this "misery" as our emotional attachment to an expectation that didn't occur.  Statman maintains emotional regret is so strong it paralyzes us.  Many ride a stock to $0 after buying in at $500.  Even after payments stop, most Ponzi scheme victims say nothing until after authorities step in. 

The good news is there is some emotional relief from knowing we are not the only ones having lost money.  The bad news is, each investor did so remaining attached to previous expectation of grandeur – "paralyzed" as Statman puts it.   

Henry David Thoreau said, "Never look back unless you are planning to go that way." He added, "It is a characteristic of wisdom not to do desperate things."

As evidenced by decisions during grief, this is prolific advice.  Everyone gets one day at a time.  We can spend it contemplating past or future – or being present to the moment we have.

Wisdom is not a culmination of experience that allows us to react perfectly in every situation or know what will happen next.  It is the serene acceptance that we won't - and the presence of mind to make decisions based on what we know today, not what might happen tomorrow.

Buddha's 3rd Noble Truth: "The cessation of suffering is possible."

It requires discipline and conviction, abandoning emotional attachments.  For investors this means allocating in accord with their objectives and not regretting this decision when life is handing out lemons.

I welcome your questions and comments. 

 becker@wiserfinancial.com

Marc Becker, AIF
Managing Partner, Wiser Financial Coaching
Columnist, The Advisor Sherpa 
To read past articles and view past videos, visit: www.marcbecker.tv

 



Trivia Time  

This week's question:  What happened this week that will not occur again until July 31, 2015?

Do you know?  E-mail your answer wendy@wiserfinancial.com and if you are correct, receive a free "Way to Go!", "You Rock!", or other congratulatory phrase.  Then brag to all your friends about how smart you are. 

The answers will be in next week's newsletter!

Last week's question:  How many Michael Phelp's wingspans would it take to equal the height of the highest Olympic diving platform?  Please round to the nearest whole number.

Answer:   About 5.  Phelp's "wingspan" (the distance from finger to finger when one's arms are outstretched) is about 81 inches, or just over 2 meters.  The high dive platform is 10 meters high, 10/2 equals 5.

Congratulations to David R. and Dick W. for getting the correct answer!  What clever people.

 follow on Twitter | visit www.marcbecker.tv | forward to a friend 

The articles and opinions expressed in this newsletter were gathered from Marc Becker, The Advisor Lab, and a variety of other sources.  Articles are written by Marc Becker.  All sources are believed to be reliable but do not constitute specific investment advice. In all cases, please contact your investment professional before making any investment choices.

Copyright ©  2012 Wiser Financial Coaching LLC, All rights reserved.

Marc Becker
Wiser Financial Coaching, LLC
2741 Campus Walk Ave.
Bldg 400 Ste 400
Durham, NC 27705
Tel: (919) 477-3355
Fax: (919) 477-3366
becker@wiserfinancial.com
Securities offered through Triad Advisors Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC

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Wiser Financial Coaching, LLC · 2741 Campus Walk Ave · Bldg. 400 Ste 400 · Durham, NC 27703